In our final session on the US Election, we again predicted that Joe Biden will win the 2020 United States Presidential Election.
We believe the win will be convincing, but not a landslide - Joe Biden will flip Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Arizona, but Donald Trump will prevail in Ohio, Iowa, and Florida.
We have unanimously predicted that Jacinda Ardern will win the 2020 New Zealand General Election.
Although this is not a surprising forecast, we found it notable that the COVID-19 pandemic has boosted the NZ Prime Minister's approval ratings when it has been so disastrous for leaders in other English-speaking countries.
Our first meeting was held on 19th September!
By a narrow margin, we forecast that Joe Biden will win the 2020 United States Presidential Election.